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01
May
2013
Unfavorable weather causes Arkansas’ cotton planting forecast to deteriorate
Author: Blake McClelland, Cotton Research Verification Coordinator

This Monday’s (4/29/13) USDA Crop Weather Report merely stated the obvious. Not much if any cotton has been planted in Arkansas. The report stated that 2% of the state’s cotton crop had been planted. This number is well below last year at this time (46%) and the five year average (20%).

With the calendar rolling over to May, some producers might be a little anxious to get seed in the ground; however, the planting forecast for the next five days is not favorable for planting. Although temperatures will still be seasonal Wednesday and Thursday, cool, wet conditions are predicted to settle into the state Thursday evening. There is a crucial 48 hour period after cotton is planted that can greatly affect stand establishment. Cotton that is planted Wednesday or before the rain on Thursday will be in this time period. Hopefully next week the weather will settle and return to “normal” May weather.

The charts below show the predicted DD 60 accumulation over the next 5 days for the northeast, central and southeast areas of the state and serve as a guide to use when trying to decide if the forecast is favorable for planting.

DD 60 Accumulation Next 5 Days (5/1-5/5)           

Date

Northeast

Central

Southeast

5/1

9.5

8.5

10

5/2

2.5

2.5

3.5

5/3

-12

-13

-12

5/4

-9

-8.5

-5.5

5/5

-3.5

-3

0.5

Total

-12.5

-13.5

-3.5

 

Predicted DD 60 Accumulation for 5 Days Following Planting

Outlook for Planting

Below 10

Very Poor

11 to 15

Poor

16 to 25

Marginal

25 to 50

Good

Above 50

Very Good

 


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